The Stock Picker
OTHER PEOPLE’S PORTFOLIOS
I have been developing something I have called a PORTFOLIO SNAPSHOT. It is a business in the development stage - I have developed it in response to a need for a our financial planning side and have been experimenting with a few member portfolios.
The idea is to provide a factual snapshot of a client’s portfolio, including objective commentary, and the result is a fabulous tool for a financial advisor that enables them to walk into a client review and talk to a client about their investments.
It has been a fascinating process seeing some of your portfolios and doing assessments, every portfolio tells a story, and as this portfolio snapshot assessment tool progresses it is clear that apart from the value it delivers to an advisor and his client, we have the opportunity to show Marcus Today Members, with the permission of the Members who own the portfolios, what other people are doing and, even more valuable, what I think about what they are doing. It allows you to see what other people are doing and allows you to put them and your own investment style in perspective. You may think what you are doing is normal, but from the portfolios I have seen so far, everyone is doing something different and there is no 'normal'.
So here is the first SNAPSHOT with commentary. We have a few of these lined up for you, hopefully you will find them fascinating and educational.
Note to financial planners and Members If you can think of some way to improve this SNAPSHOT - something else you would like included, something that would add value to the assessment, please contact me - especially if you are a financial planner - imagine going into a meeting with a client to talk about their investments...what would you need or like to see in this report. Please EMAIL ME HERE
PORTFOLIO SNAPSHOT No. 1 – “The Successful Stock Picker” Factual Observations:
Disclaimer:
Note to financial planners and Members If you can think of some way to improve this SNAPSHOT - something else you would like included, something that would add value to the assessment, please contact me - especially if you are a financial planner - imagine going into a meeting with a client to talk about their investments...what would you need or like to see in this report. Please EMAIL ME HERE
PORTFOLIO SNAPSHOT No. 1 – “The Successful Stock Picker” Factual Observations:
- This is a high-risk speculative stock picking portfolio.
- Evidence that the stock picking has worked but this approach will only work in a bull market.
- The Weekly ATR is a massive 9.45% a week – in other words this portfolio has been moving 9.4% from top to bottom each week on average for the past 14 weeks. An ASX 200 matching ETF index would move 1.8%.
- Half the gains have come from one stock (A2M).
- 37% is invested in ‘punts’ – stocks with a market cap below $1bn. 12 out of 25 stocks have a market cap below $1bn.
- Sector weightings do not bear any correlation to the All Ords sector weightings.
- The yield on the portfolio is immaterial at 0.78% including just 25% average franking across the portfolio.
- Because it is invested in a lot of illiquid small growth stocks this portfolio will get badly hurt in a downturn.
- Most portfolios we look at have other asset classes (Managed Funds, LICs, ETFs, International shares, Hybrids). This is invested in one asset class, a volatile asset class (Australian Equities). As such it needs constant management and is not ‘sleep at night’. Many retirees like a quiet life with income – this is a fireworks portfolio; it will not provide income or a quiet life.
Disclaimer:
- This Snapshot contains facts not opinions
- If you find errors please tell us and we will re-issue the tables
- Tables mostly in market capitalisation order