Diary of A Free Man

One of our members retired at 50 to become a full-time trader, hoping that he could shrug off the rat race and the typical work sleep work life. Fifteen years later he is still 'retired' and still trading full-time. After 15 years of investing, he calls it what it turned out to be, trading not…

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Why the Aussie Dollar Matters

International investors are thought to hold anywhere between 35% and 45% of the Australian market and the money is ‘mobile’, in other words it is held in the hands of fund managers, like Fidelity, whose offices are in New York, or London, and their benchmarks are global stock-market indices (mostly MSCI indices). Australia has been…

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Reporting Season Guide – August 2020

‘Tis the Season to be Careful Once again August is upon us, a time that the industry either dreads or loves. So many company results that it is hard to keep up. Analysts burn the midnight oil and investors tremble on their pronouncements. This year is set to be a one-off (hopefully). We have seen…

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The Overpricing of Technology

One member invested in technology stocks makes the point that most big technology stocks (Amazon) lost money for years and on that basis the stocks we consider to be in a bubble at the moment, which are losing money (APT, XRO), might not be a sell. My response is that you may be right but you are…

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Two Scenarios

There are arguably two scenarios for the market that could play out between now and Christmas and making money in the stock market will depend on which one transpires. Here is a description of what those two scenarios might be and how you would play the stock market under both. The problem, of course, is…

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ASX Education – Renko Charts

Renko charts are non-time based charts that are only concerned with price movement. Renko charts are “time independent” charts that do not have constantly spaced time axes. They are named after the Japanese word for bricks or “renga”. Here is a Renko chart of the S&P 500 this morning which has just ticked a sell…

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At What Cost

The cost of the Covid19 virus worldwide is huge.  Some, mainly from my generation, pay with their lives.  Others pay with their jobs, their businesses, or with their mental health.  The government is paying a fortune supporting people who have lost their jobs and can’t feed the family and pay their rent or mortgage.  Money…

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Weekly Sector Charts

Comments by Ben O'Leary – Portfolio Manager ASX 200 Heikin-Ashi chart – Threatened to break higher but the rally is evaporating, and the index is ultimately still trading sideways. Economic numbers a dulling the hopes of a V-shaped recovery despite the US getting back to work. Still waiting for the break one way or the…

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