Warren Buffet's story related to Orangutans flipping coins

Stock Market Secrets: Orangutans

The concept for this article has been unashamedly stolen from Warren Buffet although it has been given an an Australian flavour. He expounded the US version in a speech in 1984 commemorating the fiftieth anniversary of the book Security Analysis by Benjamin Graham and David Dodd, the bible of value investing. He called his speech…

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How To Survive The Results Season

THE RESULTS SEASON – A SURVIVAL GUIDE We are into the results season and these days, for equity investors, the results month is like being on a battlefield during an artillery barrage wearing fluoro orange. You never quite know when you’re going to get blown up. We are into the results season and these days,…

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Two Scenarios

There are arguably two scenarios for the market that could play out between now and Christmas and making money in the stock market will depend on which one transpires. Here is a description of what those two scenarios might be and how you would play the stock market under both. The problem, of course, is…

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It’s Technology Stupid

The top 5 stocks in the S&P 500 account for 27% of the index. Year to date, which includes the coronavirus they are up: Apple +30.5% Microsoft +35.7% Amazon +66.7% Google +11.9% Facebook +18.7% Other top performers in the S&P 500 top 20 include: Tesla +226% NVIDIA +73.8% Netflix +55.3% Adobe +38.7% Paypal +67.8% Other…

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Hotspots and Cold Spots

Rising case numbers in the US don't seem to be upsetting the markets. No-one seems to care in the US. One colleague got a text from a cousin in Washington DC yesterday saying that "everyone is just getting back to normal and they'll handle the virus if they get it". Here we are in Victoria…

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Stock Market History: The 1987 Crash

I was in London in 1987, in October, during ‘The Crash’, I was on the institutional desk of one of the big brokers. We still look back and wonder why it happened. There were a string of reasons in hindsight. The Big Bang. The introduction of computer trading. Or just an extreme moment for ‘the…

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The Hedge

Henry Jennings I have written on the delights of having a small hedge in times of trouble and have had many emails asking for what level of hedging you should have? The answer is easy. It depends. Very JP Morgan when asked about where he saw the markets going. ‘It will be volatile’. The question…

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Bank Sector Ressurection

The Banks have over-provided for an Armageddon economic outcome that was based on over-cautious medical advice – The Australian bank sector has risen 14.13% in three days as it wakes up to the realisation that the economic recovery is coming faster than expected meaning GDP forecasts are too low (brokers are upgrading GDP forecasts), bank sector earnings…

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