Into the Relapse Zone

AN INTERESTING THOUGHT Into the Relapse Zone – We are coming into the “Relapse Zone”, the period after restrictions are lifted – in particular, the market is interested in the experience in the US and UK. The world is watching to see if they have lifted lockdowns too quickly (as looks likely). You can track…

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The lucky country

A WIN FOR AUSTRALIA You may have read that the AOFM (Australian Office of Financial Management) just pulled off the biggest bond issue in Australian corporate history. They just sold $19bn of November 2024 Government Bonds. The initial issue size was $13bn and they saw $53.5bn worth of bids at a coupon of 1.02%. There…

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Are we back in a bubble?

The ASX 200 recovered a 101 point fall to close up 19 yesterday. An Australian win on a Government bond issue (see below) helped the turnaround. But we will be tested today. That's two days of the US market falling 2% a day. Corrections start fast. Momentum fading. This is the ASX 200 chart –…

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A Rant

A RANT Got caught on the ABC Radio Adelaide this morning. They were talking about the boom in online broking accounts that CommSec are reporting and ASIC is warning about (being conservative is their job). Of course there’s been a boom, everyone’s looking for something to do in isolation plus we are in the middle…

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Australia back in business by July

“Australia back in business by July” is the message from the cabinet meeting yesterday. The government clearly don’t want to be seen to be slow getting the economy going again and have developed a few catch phrases like “A sustainable COVID-19 Safe Economy” which means continuing with social distancing and safe hygiene. They expect the…

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Trade War Irrelevant

SPI down 7 but Dow Futures down another 300. A few strategy points to make this morning. TECHNICALLY One bad day…or a new trend – Friday’s 5% drop at first sight risks being the start of a bigger correction (corrections start fast) although all Friday did was negate the previous two days and whilst one…

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End of The Month

Ugly day as the market turns over – Sell in May and Go Away they say – certainly true today. Headlines about Trump imposing Tariffs on China may be the catalyst, that old chestnut. Other market themes were bound to pop up – we lost our peripheral vision as we focused on COVID-19. Trade war…

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Boring safe stocks have run their course

POINTS OF INTEREST The geared recovery sectors are bottoming in the US – Energy, Small companies, Airlines some of the best performers – same will happen here. Financials also leading the recovery – up 5-6% in the UK and leading in the US as well. Our banks appear to be bottoming. Resources not left behind…

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