Members Podcast Monday

Good start with the ASX 200 up 60 points – better than the Futures, which were up 31 on the back of the OK Jobs Numbers in the US on Friday. FMG and BEN ex-dividend. Solid progress in the resources sector today – iron ore is up, BHP and RIO up in the US on Friday.

Marcus Weekend – Survived to Thrive

JOBS NUMBERS – Good enough – Not sure the jobs numbers are enough to confirm our best hopes, but they didn't kill them either. We have survived to thrive. US unemployment rate spikes to 3.8% highest since February 2022. Nonfarm payrolls increased 187,000 in August v 157,000 in July (significantly revised lower) and consensus of…

Pre-Market Report Friday

Wall Street finished mixed overnight. The Dow Jones finished 168 points lower (-0.48%). Dow at best up 180 points. Dow at worst down 170 points. S&P 500 snapped a four-day winning streak, down 0.16%, while the NASDAQ rose 0.11% up for its fifth straight session. All three major US indices were down in August, Dow…

Pre-market Podcast

AFR – ASX to drop, Wall Street mixed as US jobs data awaited. US yields dip after inflation, jobless data; market awaits payrolls.
Fed’s Bostic says U.S. interest rates are high enough. Core PCE price index rose 0.2% v +0.2% last month; up 4.2% v 4.1% YonY. Dollar rises.
July US consumer spending (two thirds of GDP) accelerates 0.8% in July. Most in six months.
Reduced risk of recession but spending unsustainable.

Marcus Take – Tech Bets Waiting On Jobs Numbers

Jobs numbers set to kill or fill our recent hopes for a peak on rates. End of the results season – Hooray. What an analyst goes through. Retirement Today – Timing the Market – A good game. US closed on Monday for the Labor Day holiday. Some dividends coming up include BHP, FMG, MIN. And BEN. Henry away for three weeks – the PRE-MARKET podcast has a dazzling new host (Me!).

Members Podcast Friday

Bit of a pause today. BHP down a touch in the US and the recent rally. One strategist noting that the Chineses market has stopped responding to bad news – flogged to death already. Even the $7bn loss in six months from property stock Country Garden didn’t upset it.

Members Podcast

The risk on rally is alive for another day. More weak economic numbers helping overnight. Inflation number tonight. Jobs numbers Friday. US closed Monday.
Bought FANG, LNAS and BHP yesterday. Just a trade at this point. Hoping the rally is not just an end-of-month thing. Strategy Portfolio still in cash.
Good CPI number yesterday – RBA Meeting on Tuesday. Last trading day of the month. Last day of the results season. Should we beware The Ides of September? Seasonal chart in today.