DIARY NEXT WEEK The main events this week are Corporate, not economic. We have the AGM season in Australia underway, and now the Quarterly production numbers from the resources sector. The US Results season continues – Calendar HERE. RBA meeting minutes on Tuesday morning. The odds of an RBA rate rise at the November meeting are at 45%. UK Unemployment…
All of this weeks Members Podcasts in one place.
Not much joy overnight. This week has seen the ASX 200 +16, +70, +47, +2 and then minus 40. SPI Futures are down 30. The ASX 200 was up 101 points (+1.41%) this week. The Middle East escalates. The energy sector was the best performing sector +2.3%, as the oil price jumped 5%. Airlines down.…
SMALL CAP PORTFOLIO Let's be extra careful out there today! SUMMARY There is something rotten in the state of Denmark! Why CSL and RMD are on the nose. Is GLP-1 bigger than AI? The MGFO punt is paying off nicely. Forager showing a way forward. US CPI. More normal rates for longer. Sticky Fingers. Thoughts…
Turnover day – Not sure you take much interest in the technical signals today as the four-day trend comes to an end. Not a lot of technical signals anyway as the market bounce drops away. This is the ASX 200 – will the new trend end? Likely.
DMP is enjoying a purple patch, up 10% in the past five days. Citi upgraded the company on Wednesday to Buy, noting that an inflection point has been reached and improvement in key financial metrics are expected.
Wall Street finished in the red overnight after a US treasury auction sent bond yields higher, and CPI data came in hotter than expected. September monthly headline CPI came at 0.4%, higher than consensus of 0.3%, down from 0.6% in August. Headline YonY remained unchanged at 3.7%, although higher than expectations of 3.6%.
All Change – We are back on interest rate watch after the CPI number. Interest rate sensitive rally to end. US Results season starts tonight. Usually, a positive. Investment banks up first. DMP – Some broker upgrades. SGR – If you can swallow your ethics. BOQ after dropping 7% on results. Interesting moves in our industry.
Market surviving the CPI number overnight – all is not lost although the rally has certainly started to doubt itself.
BOQ released full year results on Wednesday and was received poorly by the market to say the least. Down 7% (a lot for a bank) on the news, followed by an interesting bounce back yesterday, up 4%.
