It’s Technology Stupid

The top 5 stocks in the S&P 500 account for 27% of the index. Year to date, which includes the coronavirus they are up: Apple +30.5% Microsoft +35.7% Amazon +66.7% Google +11.9% Facebook +18.7% Other top performers in the S&P 500 top 20 include: Tesla +226% NVIDIA +73.8% Netflix +55.3% Adobe +38.7% Paypal +67.8% Other…

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Bank Sector Ressurection

The Banks have over-provided for an Armageddon economic outcome that was based on over-cautious medical advice – The Australian bank sector has risen 14.13% in three days as it wakes up to the realisation that the economic recovery is coming faster than expected meaning GDP forecasts are too low (brokers are upgrading GDP forecasts), bank sector earnings…

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covid 19 economic recovery

How to Play the Recovery Trade

HAIR ON FIRE IN THE US – HOW TO PLAY THE RECOVERY TRADE The hopes for a vaccine have sent the Dow up 911 or 3.85% overnight. The S&P 500 was up 3.15%. The UK up 4.29%. The German market up 5.67%. The French market up 5.16%. The oil price up 8.12%. BHP and RIO…

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Into the Relapse Zone

AN INTERESTING THOUGHT Into the Relapse Zone – We are coming into the “Relapse Zone”, the period after restrictions are lifted – in particular, the market is interested in the experience in the US and UK. The world is watching to see if they have lifted lockdowns too quickly (as looks likely). You can track…

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Are we back in a bubble?

The ASX 200 recovered a 101 point fall to close up 19 yesterday. An Australian win on a Government bond issue (see below) helped the turnaround. But we will be tested today. That's two days of the US market falling 2% a day. Corrections start fast. Momentum fading. This is the ASX 200 chart –…

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A Rant

A RANT Got caught on the ABC Radio Adelaide this morning. They were talking about the boom in online broking accounts that CommSec are reporting and ASIC is warning about (being conservative is their job). Of course there’s been a boom, everyone’s looking for something to do in isolation plus we are in the middle…

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Covid19 crash update we are buying

We are starting to buy

WE ARE STARTING TO BUY This is not optimsim, this is being less negative. Its a very busy morning for us, we have decided to reduce our massive cash position of 70%. We are taking it down to 40%. Bit short but I wanted to get the main message to you before the market opened.…

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