The Overpricing of Technology

One member invested in technology stocks makes the point that most big technology stocks (Amazon) lost money for years and on that basis the stocks we consider to be in a bubble at the moment, which are losing money (APT, XRO), might not be a sell. My response is that you may be right but you are…

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Two Scenarios

There are arguably two scenarios for the market that could play out between now and Christmas and making money in the stock market will depend on which one transpires. Here is a description of what those two scenarios might be and how you would play the stock market under both. The problem, of course, is…

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ASX Education – Renko Charts

Renko charts are non-time based charts that are only concerned with price movement. Renko charts are “time independent” charts that do not have constantly spaced time axes. They are named after the Japanese word for bricks or “renga”. Here is a Renko chart of the S&P 500 this morning which has just ticked a sell…

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Weekly Sector Charts

Comments by Ben O'Leary – Portfolio Manager ASX 200 Heikin-Ashi chart – Threatened to break higher but the rally is evaporating, and the index is ultimately still trading sideways. Economic numbers a dulling the hopes of a V-shaped recovery despite the US getting back to work. Still waiting for the break one way or the…

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The Afterpay Juggernaut

WHAT IF I TOLD YOU…? …that a company that makes no profit and has risen 600% plus from its lows in March, is raising $800m and the two company founders were selling $250m worth of shares and potentially more to come in November. Of the $800m in fresh equity, $650m will be sold through a…

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Interview with Marcus Padley

Marcus was interviewed by Livewire in July 2020 – this is the transcript from their article – the full article plus comments can be found here. In his usual no-mincing-words style, Padley shares with me his strategy and outlines the steps you too can take to become a better investor today. He also discusses why…

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The Big End of Town

THE REALITY OF PUTTING YOUR MONEY IN A BIG INDUSTRY OR OTHER SUPER FUND There are a couple of lessons to be learned from the recent correction. The first is that most fund managers do nothing and did nothing. And that's a fact of life for anyone in big industry and super funds. It’s not…

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The Collins Class Rule

Some long-term Members might remember the story about one of the Marcus Today Members who used to work in a Collins Class submarine on weapons systems (computer whizz). When they surfaced he would download stock-market data. When they submerged he would spend many hours of idle time back testing numbers looking for patterns in share…

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