Why the Aussie Dollar Matters

International investors are thought to hold anywhere between 35% and 45% of the Australian market and the money is ‘mobile’, in other words it is held in the hands of fund managers, like Fidelity, whose offices are in New York, or London, and their benchmarks are global stock-market indices (mostly MSCI indices). Australia has been…

At What Cost

The cost of the Covid19 virus worldwide is huge.  Some, mainly from my generation, pay with their lives.  Others pay with their jobs, their businesses, or with their mental health.  The government is paying a fortune supporting people who have lost their jobs and can’t feed the family and pay their rent or mortgage.  Money…

Weekly Sector Charts

Comments by Ben O'Leary – Portfolio Manager ASX 200 Heikin-Ashi chart – Threatened to break higher but the rally is evaporating, and the index is ultimately still trading sideways. Economic numbers a dulling the hopes of a V-shaped recovery despite the US getting back to work. Still waiting for the break one way or the…

The Afterpay Juggernaut

WHAT IF I TOLD YOU…? …that a company that makes no profit and has risen 600% plus from its lows in March, is raising $800m and the two company founders were selling $250m worth of shares and potentially more to come in November. Of the $800m in fresh equity, $650m will be sold through a…

Interview with Marcus Padley

Marcus was interviewed by Livewire in July 2020 – this is the transcript from their article – the full article plus comments can be found here. In his usual no-mincing-words style, Padley shares with me his strategy and outlines the steps you too can take to become a better investor today. He also discusses why…

The Big End of Town

THE REALITY OF PUTTING YOUR MONEY IN A BIG INDUSTRY OR OTHER SUPER FUND There are a couple of lessons to be learned from the recent correction. The first is that most fund managers do nothing and did nothing. And that's a fact of life for anyone in big industry and super funds. It’s not…

Collins Class Rule

The Collins Class Rule

  Some long-term Members might remember the story about one of the Marcus Today Members who used to work in a Collins Class submarine on weapons systems (computer whizz). When they surfaced he would download stock-market data. When they submerged he would spend many hours of idle time back testing numbers looking for patterns in…

Step Trading BL2TL Stocks

If making money in the market is about buying when the balance of probability is in your favour, in individual stocks, then your odds are always going to better if you 'play' in stocks that are moving from bottom left to top right (BL2TR) on a chart, not top left to bottom right (TL2BR). This…

ASX to hit 9000 or 900

VISUALISING A Livewire article that captured my interest. Chad Slater from Morphic Asset Management talking about visualisation – he starts with this: "Back in high school, lacking both high levels of coordination and physical size, I ended up picking cross country and middle-distance running as my sports. One of the coaches was particularly keen on…

Making Better Decisions

I thought this email was worth publishing. This email followed Henry's On the Couch session with Technical Analyst Regina Meani on Saturday: EMAIL FROM A MEMBER – Over the years I have tried and tested just about every indicator that exists. I also try to keep things as simple as practicable, but still effective, so have…