The Afterpay Juggernaut

WHAT IF I TOLD YOU…? …that a company that makes no profit and has risen 600% plus from its lows in March, is raising $800m and the two company founders were selling $250m worth of shares and potentially more to come in November. Of the $800m in fresh equity, $650m will be sold through a…

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Interview with Marcus Padley

Marcus was interviewed by Livewire in July 2020 – this is the transcript from their article – the full article plus comments can be found here. In his usual no-mincing-words style, Padley shares with me his strategy and outlines the steps you too can take to become a better investor today. He also discusses why…

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The Big End of Town

THE REALITY OF PUTTING YOUR MONEY IN A BIG INDUSTRY OR OTHER SUPER FUND There are a couple of lessons to be learned from the recent correction. The first is that most fund managers do nothing and did nothing. And that's a fact of life for anyone in big industry and super funds. It’s not…

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Collins Class Rule

The Collins Class Rule

  Some long-term Members might remember the story about one of the Marcus Today Members who used to work in a Collins Class submarine on weapons systems (computer whizz). When they surfaced he would download stock-market data. When they submerged he would spend many hours of idle time back testing numbers looking for patterns in…

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Step Trading BL2TL Stocks

If making money in the market is about buying when the balance of probability is in your favour, in individual stocks, then your odds are always going to better if you 'play' in stocks that are moving from bottom left to top right (BL2TR) on a chart, not top left to bottom right (TL2BR). This…

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Hotspots and Cold Spots

Rising case numbers in the US don’t seem to be upsetting the markets. No-one seems to care in the US. One colleague got a text from a cousin in Washington DC yesterday saying that “everyone is just getting back to normal and they’ll handle the virus if they get it”. Here we are in Victoria…

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ASX to hit 9000 or 900

VISUALISING A Livewire article that captured my interest. Chad Slater from Morphic Asset Management talking about visualisation – he starts with this: "Back in high school, lacking both high levels of coordination and physical size, I ended up picking cross country and middle-distance running as my sports. One of the coaches was particularly keen on…

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The Hedge

Henry Jennings I have written on the delights of having a small hedge in times of trouble and have had many emails asking for what level of hedging you should have? The answer is easy. It depends. Very JP Morgan when asked about where he saw the markets going. ‘It will be volatile’. The question…

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